授業の目的 【日本語】
Goals of the Course(JPN) | | |
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授業の目的 【英語】
Goals of the Course | | This course introduces students to basic theories of probability and statistical inference. The objective of the course is to understand the assumptions (requirements) of statistical decision making and to get used to the idea of probability/statistical inference. This process lays the groundwork for the sequence of econometrics courses.
To give you an idea about what kinds of problems we discuss in this course, here is an example. It is said that there were 18.7 million births in China during 2003 and that the reported sex ratio was 117 boys for each 100 girls. Do you think this reported sex ratio is likely if the probability of having a boy versus girl is 50/50?
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到達目標 【日本語】
Objectives of the Course(JPN) | | | Students are expected to understand the concepts of (1) probability distribution and (2) statistical inference (interval estimation and hypothesis testing) and to apply the learned concepts to socioeconomic problems like the one given above. |
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授業の内容や構成
Course Content / Plan | | 1 & 2: Probability (3.1 – 3.6) [Inside of the parentheses are sections of the required textbook given below.]
3: Descriptive Statistics (2.1-2.6)
4 & 5: Univariate Probability Distribution (4.1 – 4.6)
6 & 7: Multivariate Probability Distribution (5.1 – 5.4)
8 & 9: Sampling Distributions (6.1 – 6.4)
10: Point Estimation (7.1 – 7.4)
11 & 12: Interval Estimation (8.1 – 8.5)
13, 14, & 15: Tests of Hypotheses (9.1 – 9.4, 9.6)
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履修条件・関連する科目
Course Prerequisites and Related Courses | | | No prerequisites. Only basic arithmetics (including square root and summation operator) are necessary. |
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成績評価の方法と基準
Course Evaluation Method and Criteria | | | Final exam (100%) is used to measure the level of understanding on the concepts covered in the course. Students can use eight Problem Sets (to be given in a course website, along with my answers) to check their understanding of the learned concepts. The final exam is a list of questions which are very similar to ones in the Problem Sets. To pass this course, decent level of understanding of the learned concepts is necessary. |
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教科書・参考書
Textbook/Reference Book | | | Required Text: Wonnacott and Wonnacott, Introductory Statistics, 5th Edition, Wiley, 1990. A used book is available at US Amazon. Including international shipping, the price is around $30. Copies of chapters 2, 3, and 4 are available on the course website for the time being before you get a textbook. |
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課外学習等（授業時間外学習の指示）
Study Load(Self-directed Learning Outside Course Hours) | | | Students are expected to solve questions in the relevant Problem Set after each lecture to check the level of understanding of the learned concepts. |
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注意事項
Notice for Students | | | This course will be taught in English. |
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授業開講形態等
Lecture format, etc. | | |
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遠隔授業（オンデマンド型）で行う場合の追加措置
Additional measures for remote class (on-demand class) | | |
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質問への対応方法
Office hour | | | By appointment. Please bring questions to a meeting set by appointment. |
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